Changelog — GameDay Analytics

added

K-Model: How the Model Works page MLB

New admin reference explaining how the strikeout model works, in both plain language and technical detail. The public-facing strikeout help was simplified to a consumer-friendly summary.

changed

Bet Labs starter-PA shown beside Min PA MLB

The current-season average plate appearances for starters now appears inline next to the Min PA filter on Bet Labs, where it is most useful for setting the floor.

changed

Bet Labs starter-PA benchmark uses current season MLB

The average plate appearances for starters on Bet Labs now always reflects the current season, even when viewing a past season, and labels the season for clarity.

fixed

Correct season on home page MLB

The gamedayanalytics.net home page now shows the current MLB season year automatically instead of a hardcoded year.

added

Bet Labs: league avg PA for starters MLB

The Bet Labs player results now show the average plate appearances an everyday starter accumulates for your selected season and filters, giving you a baseline for setting the Min PA floor.

fixed

Bet Labs results table alignment MLB

Right-aligned the numeric column headers on the Bet Labs player results table so they line up over their values.

changed

K-Model Line History order MLB

The Line History popup now reads top-to-bottom chronologically: the opening line appears at the top and the latest line at the bottom.

changed

Simplified Models navigation MLB

Removed the Strikeouts History and Performance links from the Models dropdown, leaving the main Strikeouts page.

added

K-Model Refinement Report MLB

New admin-only diagnostic report analyzing K-model accuracy, calibration, performance splits, loss causes, closing-line value, and feature importance. Read-only — does not affect picks, predictions, or bankroll tracking.

added

Strikeout predictions: line-movement indicator MLB

Each line on the Strikeout Predictions page now shows an always-visible marker — up, down, or unchanged — versus the value the line opened at. Click any line to see its full snapshot history.

added

Strikeout model: prediction-accuracy breakdowns MLB

The History tab now breaks down, per day, how many over/under picks the model landed within 1, 2, 3, or 4+ strikeouts of the actual result — both regardless of side and on the correct side of the line. The Performance tab shows the same metrics overall.

changed

Bet Labs Players: Batter/Pitcher toggle and multi-opponent systems MLB

Pick Batter or Pitcher up front and the page reshapes around your choice. Add multiple opponents per saved system (e.g. Olson vs NYM/WSH/LAA) and alerts surface whenever your player faces any of them. Batter qualifier is Plate Appearances; pitcher qualifier is Games Started. Results table realigned with clearer columns.

fixed

Fix API Quota chart showing red bars MLB

Updated Odds API monthly quota constant from the legacy 100K plan cap to the current 5M plan cap so the /admin/api-quota dashboard chart, percent-used, and burn-rate projections reflect the actual subscription.

changed

Strikeout model upgraded to 26 features MLB

The strikeout model is now using a new training run with 26 inputs (up from 18). Velocity, home-plate umpire tendencies, swinging-strike rate, pitch efficiency, putaway rate, and platoon-aware lineup K%% are now in the model. Error rate dropped by 2 percent vs the prior version.

added

Strikeout model: 10 new features and early-hook diagnostics MLB

The strikeout model now factors in pitcher fastball velocity, home-plate umpire tendencies, swinging-strike rate, pitch efficiency, putaway rate, and platoon-aware lineup K%. The Performance page now shows a rate-adjusted W-L that excludes losses where the pitcher was pulled before reaching projected volume despite a strong K pace -- separating model misses from leash-related losses. Real W-L and units stay unchanged.

added

Strikeout cards: odds, hit rates, model accuracy, filters MLB

Each starting-pitcher card now shows Over/Under odds with the recommended side highlighted, your L5/L10/Season hit rate vs the closing line, and the models historical accuracy on that pitcher. Filter the slate by side, line range, or odds range; new sort options include best model accuracy and under/over hit rate.

added

Strikeout cards: predicted lineup support MLB

Predictions now go live earlier in the day using projected lineups when MLB hasnt posted the official one. Each card shows a color-coded tag (Confirmed / Projected / Team avg only) so you can see which lineup signal is driving the prediction. Predictions automatically upgrade to the confirmed lineup the moment MLB posts it.

added

Strikeout cards: line history and movement MLB

A green-up / red-down indicator next to each line shows how its moved since the days opening line. Click the line to open a popup with every snapshot of that line and odds throughout the day.

changed

Strikeout cards: sort options + win/loss badges MLB

Sort the slate six different ways (game time, biggest edge, predicted Ks, pitcher name, result). Graded picks now show a bold WIN / LOSS / PUSH / VOID badge in place of the generic Final tag, so wins and losses are easy to spot.

added

Strikeout model: methodology page MLB

New Methodology tab on the Strikeouts page documents in detail how the model works — the algorithm, training window, every feature it considers, the lineup priority cascade, the daily pipeline schedule, the edge formula it uses to pick a side, and an honest list of what the v1 model does not yet consider.

fixed

Strikeout slate: fixed Loading... never resolving MLB

Fixed a bug where the Strikeouts page would get stuck showing Loading... due to a script error introduced when the line-history popup was added. Slate now renders normally again.

fixed

Strikeout cards: line click no longer opens both popups MLB

Clicking the line on a strikeout card was opening both the line-history popup and the pitcher matchup popup at once. Clicking the line now only opens the line history.

fixed

Removed stale pitcher props from dashboard MLB

Player props from sportsbooks would accumulate in the database when a book swapped its projected starter mid-day (e.g. an early-morning guess gets replaced once the actual starter is announced). Pitchers who were no longer on the slate could still appear as cards on the dashboard with their hit-rate history. The sync now drops orphaned prop rows per (game, market, sportsbook) on every run, and a one-time cleanup removed ~3,700 stale rows from today and future games.

added

Strikeout model is complete MLB

All five phases of the strikeout prediction model are live: foundation, model training, daily pipeline, public pages, and admin controls. Predictions land each night, lock 30 minutes before first pitch, and grade automatically.

added

Strikeout predictions are live MLB

New Models -> Strikeouts page shows today starter strikeout predictions with current Hard Rock Bet lines, edges, and over/under picks. Pick history and performance dashboards included. Picks lock 30 minutes before first pitch and grade automatically post-game.

added

Bet Labs Teams: F5 (First 5 Innings) mode MLB

Toggle Game Phase = F5 on Bet Labs Teams to see W-L-T records through the bottom of the 5th. Filter by venue, opponent, pitcher hand, day/night, and a rolling window. Detail modal compares F5 and full-game outcomes side-by-side.

added

K Correlation Analysis Dashboard MLB

New admin dashboard surfaces which stats most strongly predict starting pitcher strikeouts. Combines Statcast pitch data, opponent batting splits vs handedness, park K-factors, weather, and umpire tendencies into a per-start feature set, then reports Pearson/Spearman/mutual-info correlations alongside Linear/Random Forest/LightGBM model performance from 5-fold time-series CV. Refreshes nightly.

added

U1.5 live tracking + admin monitoring MLB

Added end-to-end tracking for the U1.5 betting model: append-only bet history with batter/team denormalization, nightly reconciliation with CLV, per-strategy running bankroll, weekly HTML reports, a state summary at /reports/u15_state_summary.html, and a live admin monitoring dashboard at /admin/u15.

added

U1.5 edge-zone filter strategy MLB

Added a hard filter to the U1.5 model that only bets when the market sits in the 0.50-0.55 probability band, the model has a 3pp+ edge, and the batter is not in lineup spots 2/6/7. Test-window ROI jumped from -1.77 percent unfiltered to +12.17 percent filtered. A shadow log records what the model would have bet without the filter so we can validate out-of-sample. Failure-mode analysis of the 0.55-0.60 bucket is posted at /reports/u15_055_060_failure_mode.html.

added

U1.5 Total Bases LightGBM model MLB

New LightGBM-based prediction model for Under 1.5 Total Bases props with isotonic calibration and quarter-Kelly bankroll simulation. Daily predictions live in u15_tb_predictions; backtest, feature importance, calibration plots, and known limitations are documented at /reports/u15_tb_model_report.html.

fixed

EDA: Fix invalid JSON from constant feature correlations MLB

The U1.5 TB EDA summary.json was emitting bare NaN tokens (invalid per RFC 8259) for the u15_line_posted feature because pointbiserialr returns NaN when one input is constant. Now guards against this case, storing null in JSON, and adds allow_nan=False to catch any future NaN leaks at write time.

added

Under 1.5 TB exploratory analysis report MLB

A leakage-safe dataset for every 2026 batter-game with full context (rolling form, Statcast snapshots, pitcher matchup, park, market) plus a shareable EDA report at /reports/u15_tb_eda_report.html that surfaces which factors actually predict U1.5 outcomes.

changed

Under 1.5 TB predictions now refresh every 30 minutes MLB

The Under 1.5 Total Bases model runs every 30 min from 8 AM to 8 PM CT (Central Time), refreshing picks as lineups confirm and odds shift throughout the day. Previously the model only ran twice (7 AM and 4:30 PM CT).

added

Under 1.5 Total Bases predictions MLB

New predictions page surfaces batters likely to go Under 1.5 Total Bases tonight. Picks are filtered through lineup position, contact-quality regression candidates, pitcher matchup, park environment, and a sportsbook odds floor, then ranked by a 0-100 confidence score. Visit /under-tb-predictions.

changed

Prop Finder: multi-select player teams MLB

The Player team filter now lets you select multiple teams at once — same picker pattern as Opp teams. Old single-team bookmarked URLs continue to work.

added

Bet Labs Teams: Over/Under, Favorite/Underdog, Run Line filters MLB

Bet Labs Teams now lets you filter and save by Over/Under direction, moneyline favorite/underdog, and run line lay -1.5 / take +1.5. The page shows coverage so you know how many games are priced. Saved systems alert against tonight"s posted lines when you do not set a fixed line.

changed

Prop Finder: sticky table headers MLB

Made the Prop Finder results table headers stick to the top of the viewport when scrolling through long result lists. Column names stay visible no matter how far you scroll.

fixed

Prop Finder: filter panel no longer sticky MLB

The Prop Finder filter panel was pinned to the top of the viewport, blocking results while scrolling. Removed the sticky behavior so the panel scrolls off naturally and results have the full viewport.

added

Prop Finder: Player-team filter MLB

Added a Player team dropdown to Prop Finder. Pick a team to restrict results to just that team's players. Works on both Batter and Pitcher sides, and applies whether or not a Game date is set.

added

Prop Finder: Has line filter MLB

Added a Has line checkbox next to the Min/Max odds inputs on Prop Finder. When checked, results hide players whose chosen sportsbook has not posted this prop today (or whose props no active book has priced, if Best available is selected).

changed

Prop Finder: clarify opposing-team count labels MLB

Renames the opposing-team count from "hits overs allowed" to "Batter-games over 0.4 hits" (or "SP starts" for pitcher props) so it does not read as total hits allowed. Notes now phrase it as "Across 45 games, opposing batters went over 0.4 hits 290 times vs the Phillies".

changed

Prop Finder: opponent teams in summary sentence MLB

The live filter summary sentence now reflects the Opp teams picker. Pick 1u20133 teams and you see e.g. "u2026playing the Philadelphia Philliesu2026" or "u2026playing the Phillies or Yankeesu2026" in the sentence; 4+ teams collapse to "playing 1 of N selected teams".

added

Prop Finder: venue filter + odds in summary sentence MLB

Adds a new Venue filter section to Prop Finder so you can narrow results to players whose today game is at a ballpark matching stat thresholds u2014 HR/game, Hits/game, Runs/game, TB/game (from final games this season) plus admin-curated Hit/HR/Run park factors. Available when a game date is set; applies to both batter and pitcher sides. The live filter summary sentence now also includes min/max odds when set.

added

Prop Finder: plain-language filter summary MLB

Prop Finder now shows a live one-sentence description of the active filters next to the Search button (e.g. "Batters with xBA u2265 .300 vs starting pitchers with WHIP u2265 1.20 going over .5 hits 80% of the time in their L10 games."). Updates as you adjust the form so you can read your search like a sentence before running it.

fixed

Bet Labs: Player-select in save modal MLB

The Players page save modal now includes a required player dropdown populated from the current results table. This ensures saved systems capture the player_mlb_id needed for the matcher to fire correctly. Also updated help modal text on both Players and Teams pages to reflect that Save as System is now live.

added

Bet Labs / Saved & Alerts is live MLB

New Bet Labs section. Save filter combinations from /bet-labs/players or /bet-labs/teams, then visit /bet-labs/saved to see which of your saved systems match today's or tomorrow's games. Lineups are shown when confirmed or predicted; pending lineups still surface the match.

added

Bet Labs / Teams is live MLB

New Bet Labs section. Pick a season and a window (Full / Last 5 / Last 10 / Last 20), then optionally filter by team, opponent, venue, opposing-pitcher hand, day or night, and a game-total line. The table shows each team's W/L record and O/U record side-by-side. Click any row for the game-by-game breakdown.

added

Bet Labs: game time hour column added to sync MLB

sync_games.php now populates local_hour_ct (CT hour 0-23) on every game upsert, enabling time-of-day filters in the Bet Labs team stats pages.

added

Bet Labs / Players is live MLB

New Bet Labs section. Pick a season, prop, line, and direction, then optionally filter by opponent, venue (home/away), and pitcher hand to see each player's filtered hit rate. Click any row for the game-by-game breakdown.

fixed

Team Stats: aligned team column MLB

Fixed the Team column on the Team Stats page: logos now render inline next to the abbreviation, and the duplicated text on teams without a locally cached logo (ATH, AZ, CWS) is resolved.

added

Team Stats Leaderboard MLB

Added a new Team Stats page under the Stats menu. View sortable batting and pitching stats for all MLB teams side by side, with rank columns and tab switching between offense and pitching.

added

Team Stats: Track Total Runs Allowed MLB

The team season stats sync now captures total runs allowed (pitching_r) from the MLB Stats API, enabling accurate leaderboard sorting by runs allowed vs. only earned runs.

fixed

Player profile photos restored MLB

Fixed missing headshots on player detail pages. Photos now load from the MLB CDN, which uses the same player IDs as the rest of the site.

added

Prop Finder: book-specific Line column MLB

Added a Line column showing the line your chosen sportsbook is actually offering for each player. When the book hasn’t posted at the line you filtered (e.g. you searched 0.5 but the book is only at 1.5), the row still appears with the book’s actual line highlighted in red — making it obvious at a glance which players the book hasn’t lined at your number. Line is sortable.

added

Odds now refresh every 30 minutes during game windows MLB

Player prop odds now refresh every 30 minutes Mon-Fri 1PM-9PM CT and Sat-Sun 10AM-7PM CT, on top of the existing daily slots. Lines stay fresher heading into first pitch.

changed

Dashboard min-games filter now scales with season MLB

On the Dashboard, the Min G default for batter prop markets is now max team games played minus 15, so the filter automatically loosens as the season grows. Pitcher markets continue to use the rotation-aware default.

changed

Prop Finder shows todays batting order MLB

The LINEUP column now shows each batters spot in todays official starting lineup (1st-9th) instead of a season average. Refreshes every 10 minutes as teams post their lineup cards.

added

Official lineups now refresh every 10 minutes MLB

Starting lineups for todays games refresh every 10 minutes from 3pm to 11pm CT, pulled directly from the MLB Stats API. Pages that show batting-order context — Prop Finder, HRR systems, pitcher matchups — now reflect confirmed lineups as teams post them.

fixed

Fix HR Predictions edge calculation MLB

Fixed a bug where all HR Matchup predictions had null edge values due to the odds-attach query requiring DraftKings props that were not available. The fix adds best-available book fallback logic — when the preferred sportsbook has no batter_home_runs prop, the model picks the best-priced available book. Result: 122 of 202 predictions now have edge attached and 34 qualify.

added

HR Matchup model — v1-arsenal implementation complete MLB

A new home-run prediction model that overlays each pitcher's pitch arsenal on the opposing hitter's per-pitch-type Barrel% and xwOBA. Includes nightly Baseball Savant data sync, transparent Primary Driver text (60/40 Power Blend, dominant pitch matchup, HR park factor), and 15-min post-final grading. Public page coming soon after a soak period.

added

HR Matchup Model — Admin Backtest Page MLB

Added /admin/models/hr/backtest with windowed performance metrics (7d/30d/season), edge-bucket hit rates, reliability diagram, and a Re-run evaluate button for the HR Matchup prediction model.

added

HR Matchup public page MLB

Added the HR Matchup public page (/hr-matchup) with a hero leaderboard showing top edges, a sortable full-slate table, past-date grading (green/red/yellow), and a help modal explaining the Power Blend, arsenal matchup, park factor, and edge calculations.

added

HR Model: Park Factors Editor MLB

Added an admin editor for per-venue HR park factors. Allows inline editing of the HR multiplier for each ballpark while keeping hit and run factors read-only. Supports season selection and includes CSRF protection.

added

HR Matchup Model — Admin Weights Editor MLB

Added /admin/models/hr/weights admin page for editing HR Matchup model configuration. Supports all hr_model_config columns with numeric range validation, JSON validation for lineup-spot projected PAs, model activation switching, and PRG flash pattern.

added

HR Matchup: Live grading + performance metrics online MLB

The HR Matchup model now grades predictions within 15 minutes of a game going final. Rolling accuracy metrics (Brier score, log-loss, edge-bucket hit rates) are recomputed every 10 minutes between noon and 2 AM CT.

added

HR Matchup Model: Prediction Pipeline MLB

Added predict.py for the HR matchup model (v1-arsenal). For each day's slate, the pipeline loads pitcher arsenals, per-pitch-type batter splits, park factors, and lineup spots, then writes HR probability predictions to hr_predictions. Supports --dry-run, --force, --date, and --model flags.

added

HR Matchup admin sync page MLB

Added /admin/models/hr/sync admin page with kill-switch toggles for nightly sync/predict/evaluate, a data status panel showing latest snapshot dates and row counts for the pitcher arsenal and batter-vs-pitch tables, and a manual trigger button for the HR model sync script.

fixed

HR matchup: barrel% per pitch type now populated MLB

Fixed the batter-vs-pitch statcast sync to populate barrel_pct and avg_exit_velocity for each pitch type. Previously both columns were NULL because the pitch-arsenal-stats endpoint does not expose them. Now a supplemental statcast_search fetch (BIP-only filter) aggregates barrels and exit velocity per batter per pitch type, achieving 99.9%% fill rate with avg barrel% of 8.6%% (in line with league average).

added

HR Matchup: Batter-vs-Pitch Stats Sync MLB

Added nightly sync of Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal data for batters — tracks how each hitter performs against specific pitch types (xwOBA, wOBA, BA, SLG, whiff %). Foundation for the upcoming HR matchup model.

added

Pitcher arsenal sync added (HR model) MLB

Nightly Savant sync now pulls per-pitch-type stats (usage, wOBA, xwOBA, whiff%, put-away%, velocity, spin) into statcast_pitcher_arsenal to power the HR matchup model.

added

HR Matchup Model — Schema Foundation MLB

Added database schema for the new HR Matchup model (v1-arsenal): pitcher arsenal by pitch type, batter vs pitch type, model registry, predictions, actuals, and performance tables. HR park factor column added to park_factors.

added

Prop Finder: game time + sportsbook & odds filter MLB

Game start time now shows inline in the GAME column. Pick a sportsbook (default Hard Rock Bet) or Best available, set optional Min/Max odds, and sort the new ODDS column by price.

added

Prop Finder: live odds attached to results MLB

The Prop Finder now fetches and displays real-time sportsbook odds (over/under lines) for each player result. Sort by odds, filter by min/max odds range, and pick a preferred book or use the best-available line across all books.

added

Prop Finder: sportsbook and odds validator MLB

Extended Prop Finder validator to accept a sportsbook selector, min/max American odds bounds, and book_odds sort column.

added

Prop Finder — opposing-team filter, vs-opp column, detail modal, scout notes MLB

Prop Finder upgrade. New opposing-team multi-select picker restricts the slate to teams you care about facing. New "vs Opp %" column shows each player's hit rate this season in games against the team they're facing on the chosen date. Click any row for a detail card with today's sportsbook line, opposing-SP stats and Statcast, opposing-team aggregates, and plain-language scout notes (player rank, opp-team rank, recent allowed trend, bullpen workload). Opp-team panel now reports qualifying overs allowed at your chosen line — exact counts from real game data, not averages. Has-game-today checkbox replaced with a date selector (defaults to today, accepts any past or future date). Each prop now sets a sensible line and direction on change (HRR → 1.5 Over, ER → 2.5 Under, etc.). Help button restyled to match Player Props Stats. Predicted lineups now refresh at 8 PM CT so tomorrow's slate is ready in the evening.

changed

Prop Finder: minimum hit-rate filters MLB

Added Min Season / L5 / L10 % inputs so you can narrow Prop Finder results to players whose hit rate clears your chosen floor in any window.

added

Prop Finder MLB

Compose batter or pitcher prop searches with stacked filters — lineup spot, performance thresholds, pitcher-matchup criteria — and see Season / L5 / L10 hit rates against any custom line.

fixed

Game Preview: correct modal on pitcher click MLB

Fixed an issue where clicking a pitcher on /game-preview opened the K% matchup view from /pitching-matchups instead of the season stats and HRR Over% / Runs Under% breakdown.

added

Game Preview MLB

Added /game-preview: today's schedule with both starting pitchers, season Statcast profile (xERA, xwOBA, HardHit%, Barrel%, Whiff%), and click-through to opposing-lineup HRR Over% / Runs Under% breakdown. Targeted at H+R+R and Runs prop research.

fixed

Stadium Stats: vs-handedness sample-size guard MLB

The vs-handedness HR rate column now requires at least 25 at-bats before showing a percentage, preventing misleading 0% values from tiny early-season samples. Below the threshold, the AB count is shown so you can judge the sample.

added

Stadium Stats page MLB

New page combining park HR/Run/Hit factors with home and road team splits, L5/L10 totals, and top HR hitters per lineup including Statcast barrel%, hard-hit%, exit velocity, and vs-handedness HR rate. Sorted by HR-friendliness for daily HR-hunting research.

added

Stadium Stats help modal MLB

The Stadium Stats page now includes a complete help modal explaining all features: park factors and color coding, home/road splits, L5/L10 streak totals, top hitters table stat glossary, vs-handedness HR rate caveat, and how the All Stadiums browse view works.

added

Stadium Stats: All-Stadiums sortable browse view MLB

The All Stadiums tab now renders a fully sortable table of all 30 MLB parks. Sort by HR factor, Run factor, Hit factor, name, city, roof type, or whether a game is scheduled there today. Click any row to expand it showing the home team's HR rate at that park this season plus the top 5 HR hitters who have played there.

added

Stadium Stats: Today View Cards MLB

The Stadium Stats page now renders full interactive game cards for today's MLB slate. Each card includes park factor chips (color-coded green/yellow/red by rank), a pitching matchup row with starter hand, ERA, WHIP, and HR/9, home/road team splits with season AVG/OPS and L5/L10 HR/R/RBI totals, and a top-hitters mini-table showing lineup spot, HR/AB rate, last-15-games HR, Barrel%, Hard-Hit%, exit velocity, and vs-handedness HR rate.

added

Stadium Stats page added MLB

New /stadium-stats page showing park factors, home/road team splits, and top HR hitters per lineup. Includes Today view (date-filtered game cards) and All Stadiums view (full sortable table). Tabs and date picker update the URL for bookmarkable state.

added

Stadium Stats: All-Stadiums Browse + Venue Detail MLB

The Stadium Stats API now supports a full browse view of all 30 MLB parks ranked by HR park factor, with today game context. Each park can be expanded to show the home team HR rate and top 5 HR hitters at that venue this season.

fixed

Stadium Stats API: TBD-time and season-fallback fixes MLB

Fixed two edge cases in the new stadium-stats API: games with not-yet-set start times now render as 'TBD', and date-driven requests fall back to the most recent season with stats data.

added

Stadium Stats API — Today View MLB

Added the /api/stadium-stats.php endpoint backing the upcoming Stadium Stats page. The today view returns games for a selected date sorted by HR park factor rank, including venue metadata, park factor ranks (HR/run/hit), starting pitcher ERA/WHIP/HR-per-9, team home/road splits, L5/L10 HR/R/RBI totals, and top-5 lineup hitters with statcast barrel%, hard-hit%, exit velocity, and vs-handedness HR rates.

added

Stadium Stats: Venue metadata lookup MLB

Added a static venue metadata helper covering all 30 MLB parks, including city and roof type (open, retractable, or fixed dome). Powers the upcoming Stadium Stats feature with venue-level context.

added

Nightly Handedness Splits Refresh MLB

Batter vs LHP/RHP split stats now refresh automatically each morning as part of the nightly sync, powering the upcoming Stadium Stats page.

changed

HRR Predictions rolled back to better-calibrated model MLB

After reviewing 7 days of graded results, the active HRR predictions model (v1.1-marcel-plus) was consistently underperforming its predecessor (v1-marcel) on calibration and hit-rate metrics, with the highest-edge picks losing more often than coin-flip. Rolled the active model back to v1-marcel and started a parallel A/B experiment with a tuned variant (v1.2-recent-soft) that de-emphasizes short-term hot/cold streaks and re-enables park HR factors.

fixed

Dashboard odds-range filter respects Over/Under toggle MLB

Min/Max Odds now correctly filters on the displayed side. Previously a prop with one side in range and the other outside could still appear when toggled to the out-of-range side (e.g., -195 over surfacing under a -180 cap).

added

vs-Pitcher hit rate on dashboard cards MLB

Prop cards on the dashboard now show a fourth stat: the player's season over/under percentage against today's prop line, restricted to prior games this season against today's opposing starting pitcher (batter cards) or opposing team (pitcher cards). Hover the cell to see the full count.

changed

Player Props Stats: L5/L10 rates and favorite odds MLB

The Player Props Stats page is now linked from the Prop Analysis nav. Expanding a row shows the favorite-side American odds for each market and the player's L5/L10 over/under hit rates against today's line.

added

Player Props Stats: Favorite Price + L5/L10 rate rows on detail cards MLB

Each per-market detail card now shows the favorite-side American odds price (Favorite Price) directly below Today's Line, plus L5 Over %, L5 Under %, L10 Over %, and L10 Under % hit-rate rows below the existing vs Line percentages.

changed

Statcast page: column header tooltips, leaner column sets, starters-only pitcher tab MLB

Hover (or tap on mobile) any column on the Statcast leaderboard to see how the stat is calculated, sourced from the Baseball Savant glossary. Pitcher tab is now restricted to starters (filtered by Games Started) and drops PA, HR, BA, SLG, Chase%, CSW%, and Zone%. Batter tab drops maxEV, Chase%, Pull%, GB%, LD%, and FB%; H, HR, and AB now populate from season totals (previously blank). Mobile-first layout — table sizing tightens on phones; tooltips work on touch via tap.

added

Cold Pitchers system MLB

New /cold-pitchers page identifies today's starting pitchers getting destroyed at the plate via Statcast (xERA, xwOBA, Hard-Hit %, Barrel %, Whiff %). Click any pitcher to see opposing-lineup HRR Over% and Runs Under% trends across L5/L10/Season. Admin-tunable thresholds; history page tracks per-pitcher hit rate.

fixed

Dashboard: widened toolbar number inputs MLB

Min Odds, Max Odds, Min L5%, and Min L10% inputs no longer truncate 3-4 digit values.

added

Dashboard: L5 / L10 hit-rate filters MLB

New Min L5% and Min L10% toolbar inputs let you filter the prop card grid to players whose recent hit rate meets a chosen percentage.

changed

Players page: compact filter MLB

Swapped the bulky games-today segmented toggle for a small checkbox so the filter bar fits cleanly.

added

Players page enhancements MLB

Added today's matchup beside player names (vs/@ opponent + time, or Off), With-Game-Today filter toggle, dynamic min-GP filter, and new sortable columns: Avg R/Game, HRR Over/Under %, Run Over/Under %.

fixed

Statcast contact-quality data fix MLB

Statcast season-window sync now pulls the full column set including barrel%, hard-hit%, whiff%, K%, and sweet-spot%. HRR Monger now produces real qualifiers (47 today) instead of zero.

added

Rolling 7-game predicted lineups MLB

New predicted_lineups table refreshes nightly from each team last 7 games and feeds any system that needs a lineup prediction. Confirmed lineups still take precedence when posted.

added

HRR Monger MLB

New Statcast-driven HRR 1.5+ overs system. Combines hard gates (K%<28, lineup top-7, xwOBA>.290, opp pitcher xwOBA Allowed >= .310, Monger Score >= 65) with a weighted score across 12 hitter and pitcher metrics. Includes a tunable admin panel and a tuning analytics page that shows per-metric hit-rate buckets so you can see which metrics are working.

fixed

Restored separate Player Stats and Pitcher Stats pages MLB

Player Stats (/players) once again shows position players only, with H+R+RBI total and H+R+RBI per game alongside the usual rate stats. Pitcher Stats (/pitchers) is now limited to starting pitchers and adds an Outs/GS column so you can see how deep each starter typically goes.

changed

HRR model upgraded to v1.1 with recent-form signal MLB

Our HRR prediction model now factors in each batters last-10-games performance alongside their season rate. Expect the model to better flag hitters on cold streaks (where previous versions still picked them based on strong season totals) and warm up on players heating up mid-season. Changes take effect at tomorrows 6:45 AM CT nightly run.

added

HRR Predictions page is live MLB

Our Marcel-shrunk HRR model now has a public home at /hrr-predictions. See the top 15 HRR edges for today along with a filterable full slate, click any card for a probability chart and the models reasoning, and browse past dates to see what hit. Under the hood: Models admin section, per-user sportsbook selection with automatic best-line fallback, and graded past-date outlines.

changed

HRR predictive model upgraded (v1-marcel) MLB

Our HRR model now uses Marcel-shrunk batter hit/run/RBI rates adjusted for opposing pitcher quality (xwOBA-against) and ballpark effects, with numpy Monte Carlo producing a full probability distribution. Admins can tune park factors and model weights in the admin panel. Historical predictions are preserved for model-to-model comparison.

added

Statcast data pipeline MLB

Baseball Savant Statcast leaderboards now sync nightly — batter and pitcher expected-stats (xBA, xSLG, xwOBA, barrel%, hard-hit%, sweet-spot%, whiff%, chase%, and many more) land in the MLB database every morning. New /statcast browse page with sortable leaderboards, player photos, CSV export, and a snapshot-date picker for time-travel. Admin dashboard at /admin/statcast controls the sync.

added

Player Props Stats team filter MLB

You can now narrow the Player Props Stats table to a single team using the new Team dropdown. Default view is unchanged and still shows every active player.

added

Auto Parlay: market+side exclusions MLB

Exclude specific market+side combinations from Auto Parlay results — e.g. drop Over Runs while keeping Under Runs eligible.

added

Auto Parlay: time period filter MLB

Filter Auto Parlay results to games within a specific CT time window.

added

Pitcher matchup modal with expanded batter stats MLB

Click a pitcher on the Pitching Matchups page to open a detailed matchup modal. Each batter now shows H, HR, BB, AB, OBP, and SLG against that specific pitcher — not just AVG and K%. Career, Season, L10, and L5 views are all available. Fixed pitcher cards showing broken photos and a blank pitcher-detail page.

fixed

Fix pitcher detail page fatal error MLB

Resolved a fatal database error on pitcher profile pages caused by incorrect umpire table column references. The page now loads correctly for all pitchers.

added

Bet history upload MLB

Admins can upload their Hard Rock Bet CSV exports and see P/L, ROI, win rate, and hit rates by market, player, team, and price — all filterable by the last 10/25/50/100 parlays.

added

Player Props Stats: sportsbook filter MLB

Added a sportsbook dropdown to the Player Props Stats page so you can pin lines to a specific book (DraftKings, FanDuel, Hard Rock Bet) instead of always seeing the best available odds across all books.

changed

Player Props Stats: full roster + pagination MLB

Player Props Stats now lists every active batter and starting pitcher this season, not just those with prop lines today. Matchup info and prop lines populate only for players with games on the selected date. Added pagination (25/50/100/200 per page) with server-side sort to keep load times fast.

added

Player Props Stats: matchup info MLB

Each player row now shows today's matchup (vs / @ opponent) and game start time in Central Time, alongside their position and team.

fixed

Fixed false positive silent failures on admin dashboard MLB

The closing_lines silent failures panel now checks both backfill runs and actual prop_history data before flagging a date, eliminating false alarms for dates that were successfully backfilled

added

Venue Stats Page MLB

New Research section with venue stats showing aggregated batting and pitching performance by MLB ballpark, sortable by any column with totals and per-game averages

added

Player Props Stats Page MLB

New page showing player season stats alongside their prop lines for any date, with two hit rate metrics: historical closing-line rate and vs-today line rate

added

Top Unders Odds Filter MLB

Added configurable min/max under odds range to the Top Unders page. Filter out props with unfavorable juice to focus on actionable lines.

added

Historical Batting Order Position MLB

Systems now use each player's most frequent batting order position from the season instead of waiting for daily lineup cards. No Run Score and Under .5 Runs both benefit from earlier, more reliable evaluations.

changed

Under .5 Runs: Batting Order Criterion Added MLB

Added a 6th qualifying check to the Under .5 Runs system: players must most frequently bat 6th or lower in the lineup. This filters out leadoff and top-order hitters who score more often, improving the precision of under picks.

changed

No Run Score uses historical batting order MLB

The lineup position factor now uses a player's historical mode batting order position instead of today's live lineup card, providing a more reliable signal before confirmed lineups are posted.

added

Batting Order History Table MLB

Added player_batting_order_history table to track each player's most frequent batting position per season. Seeded with 2026 data from existing game stats. Adds batting_order_min config param to the Under .5 Runs system.

changed

Admin system preview shows Filtered Out count MLB

The Live Preview panel on admin system detail pages now displays how many players were filtered out by odds/score thresholds, matching the public page metrics.

added

VS Team hit rate and CL% season on dashboard MLB

Prop cards now show hit rate at today's line vs the specific opponent team, plus full-season closing-line hit rate (CL%) alongside the existing CL10 stat.

added

Team Season Stats Sync MLB

Added team-level season statistics (batting, pitching, fielding) synced daily from MLB Stats API.

added

Under .5 Runs System MLB

New system that identifies players most likely to go under 0.5 runs scored by analyzing team offensive weakness, opponent pitching dominance, and individual run drought patterns. Features adjustable odds filtering and team rankings display.

added

Team Season Stats MLB

Added team-level season statistics (hitting, pitching, fielding) synced from MLB Stats API for all 30 teams.

added

Add early morning prop sync MLB

Added a 5:00 AM CT prop sync slot so player props are available before the first pitch.

fixed

Fix closing lines sync failure MLB

Fixed an issue where closing line data stopped syncing due to a timestamp format incompatibility with the Odds API. Backfilled missing data for April 11-12.

added

Prop Sync Schedule Manager MLB

Added admin controls to enable/disable individual prop sync time slots. Added two new sync windows (5:30 PM and 7:00 PM CT) for fresher pre-game lines. Schedule is managed from the Odds API admin page.

added

Added API Quota Analytics Dashboard MLB

New dedicated page for monitoring Odds API usage with billing cycle tracking, burn rate projections, daily usage chart, per-sync-job breakdown, and season history. Includes compact quota summary on the existing Odds API admin page.

fixed

Fixed Odds API Admin Dashboard MLB

Resolved issue where the API Status panel showed dashes instead of actual usage data. Fixed property mapping between the API endpoint and the admin page JavaScript.

added

Add check tooltips and No Run Score history tracking MLB

Added info tooltips explaining each check on all prediction history pages. No Run Score history now includes the Failed Check Impact scorecard with backfilled prediction data.

changed

Redesign prediction history check analysis MLB

Replaced Check Effectiveness table with Failed Check Impact scorecard on HRR history pages. Summary cards now show Qualifying vs Near-Miss breakdown. The new table clearly shows which checks are critical vs safe to skip.

fixed

Fix HRR prediction history tracking MLB

Fixed a bug preventing HRR Overs and Unders predictions from being recorded. History pages now display tracked prediction results with accuracy metrics.

added

No Run Scored Probability Model MLB

New system that scores players on their probability of not scoring a run using 12 weighted factors including OBP, lineup position, opposing starter quality, platoon matchups, and park factors. Compares model scores against sportsbook odds to identify value bets. Full admin configuration with adjustable weights and thresholds. Includes prediction history tracking.

added

Game Schedule with Date Navigation MLB

Browse the full MLB schedule by date with prev/next navigation and a date picker. The Schedule page replaces the old Today's Games link.

added

Game Breakdown Page MLB

Rebuilt game detail page with player-first prop analysis. See every player's prop markets at a glance with Top Performer and Top Under badges. Click any player to expand closing-line history showing actual results against past sportsbook lines.

added

Pipeline Health Monitor MLB

Admin dashboard now surfaces prop history data gaps and silent sync failures so issues are caught immediately.

fixed

Fix Closing Lines Sync MLB

Fixed a bug in the historical odds API integration that prevented prop history from being recorded for some game dates. Backfilled missing March 26-29 data.

changed

Top Performers Uses Historical Closing Lines MLB

Top Performers now uses actual historical closing lines from sportsbooks for hit rate calculations instead of applying today's line retroactively. A new purple badge shows how each player performs against today's specific line.

added

Top Unders Page MLB

New page identifying players with high under hit rates based on actual historical closing lines. Shows both closing-line under rate and vs-today's-line comparison. Configurable via admin dashboard.

fixed

Fixed odds range filter on dashboard MLB

Props with odds outside the Min/Max Odds filter range were incorrectly showing on the dashboard when only one side (over or under) was out of range. Now each side is checked independently.

added

Help modal for Heavy Home Favorites MLB

Added a help icon to the Heavy Home Favorites page with explanations of the bridge system checks, moneyline override, and result categories.

added

Help modal for Parlay Builder MLB

Added a help icon to the Parlay Builder page with step-by-step instructions for building and analyzing parlays.

added

Help content tracking in admin dashboard MLB

Admin dashboard now shows when each page's help content was last updated, with color-coded freshness indicators to flag stale documentation.

added

Help modal for Prop Analyzer MLB

Added a help icon to the Prop Analyzer page with explanations of each filter, column, and how to interpret the results.

added

Help modal for Team Top Performers MLB

Added a help icon to the Team Top Performers page with current settings, enabled markets, and usage instructions.

added

Help modal for Top Performers MLB

Added a help icon to the Top Performers page. Click it to see current settings, which prop markets are enabled, and how the system works.

added

Help modals for HRR Overs and Unders MLB

Added a help icon to both HRR system pages. Click it to see how the system works, what each check evaluates, and how to interpret qualifying vs near miss results.

changed

Auto Parlay uses actual closing lines MLB

Parlay hit rates are now calculated against the real closing prop line from each game date, not today's line applied retroactively. Day-by-day breakdown shows the actual line that was graded.

changed

Exclude correlated parlays from Auto Parlay MLB

Auto Parlay now filters out combinations where the same player appears on multiple legs (e.g. Bobby Witt Jr. on both Runs and Hits+Runs+RBIs). Sportsbooks reduce payouts on correlated parlays, so these are no longer suggested.

fixed

Fix check effectiveness on prediction history pages MLB

Check effectiveness tables on HRR Overs and Unders history pages now correctly display pass/fail counts and hit rates. A MariaDB JSON_VALUE boolean comparison issue was causing all values to show as zero.

added

Add full-criteria vs near-miss badges to prediction history MLB

Daily breakdown on HRR prediction history pages now shows whether each prediction was a full-criteria match or a near-miss, with checks passed count.

fixed

Fix HRR Unders min games threshold MLB

Adjusted HRR Unders smart min-games offset to match HRR Overs, preventing overly strict filtering early in the season.

changed

Game info on Auto Parlay MLB

Auto Parlay cards now display each players matchup and game time

added

Min/Max Odds Filter on Auto Parlay MLB

Added Min Odds and Max Odds filters to the Auto Parlay page to exclude props with extreme juice

added

Auto Parlay Builder MLB

Added Auto Parlay page that automatically finds the best parlay combinations from todays available props. Select a sportsbook, number of legs, and minimum hit rate to discover ranked parlays with full day-by-day breakdowns.

added

Sportsbook Filter on Top Performers MLB

Added a sportsbook dropdown to the Top Performers page to filter results by a specific sportsbook

fixed

Fix game times on system pages MLB

Fixed game times on HRR Overs, HRR Unders, Hits Over, and Home Favorites system pages to correctly convert from UTC to Central Time

added

Min/Max Line Filters MLB

Added Min Line and Max Line filter fields to the dashboard toolbar for filtering props by line value range

added

HRR Unders System MLB

New evaluation system for identifying H+R+RBI prop under opportunities. Uses 7 checks including under hit rate, batting order position, opposing pitcher WHIP, team implied runs, venue, platoon disadvantage, and minimum games played. Includes prediction tracking and history page.

added

Smart Min Games Default for HRR Overs MLB

Min games filter now auto-calculates based on max team games played this season plus an adjustable offset (default -2). Updates dynamically as the season progresses.

added

System Prediction Tracking MLB

Added prediction tracking for HRR Overs system — locks predictions before games, grades them postgame, and provides a history page with accuracy stats and check effectiveness analysis

added

System Prediction Lock Script MLB

Added sync_lock_predictions.php — a cron script that snapshots qualifying and near-miss HRR Overs predictions roughly 1 hour before each game, storing them in system_predictions for later grading and performance tracking.

added

System Prediction Lock Script MLB

Added sync_lock_predictions.php — a cron script that snapshots qualifying and near-miss HRR Overs predictions roughly 1 hour before each game, storing them in system_predictions for later grading and performance tracking.

changed

Renamed HRR Advantage to HRR Overs MLB

Renamed the H+R+RBI Advantage system to HRR Overs for clarity — updated all URLs, routes, and navigation links

added

Smart Min Games & Odds Range Filter MLB

Dashboard now auto-calculates minimum games based on season progress and selected market type (batting vs pitching). Added min/max odds range inputs to filter prop lines. All defaults are configurable from the admin panel.

added

Hard Rock Bet Added MLB

Added Hard Rock Bet as a sportsbook source for player prop odds.

added

Sportsbook Auto-Discovery in Odds Sync MLB

The odds API sync script now automatically detects and records all sportsbooks encountered during each run, keeping the sportsbooks table current without manual intervention.

changed

Sportsbook Filtering for Prop APIs MLB

All prop-related API endpoints (daily-props, game-props, prop-hit-rates, prop-analysis, top-performers) now filter results to only show props from active sportsbooks. Inactive sportsbooks can be toggled off in the admin panel without affecting data integrity.

added

Sportsbook Toggle API MLB

Added POST /api/odds-api-sportsbook-toggle endpoint to enable or disable individual sportsbooks, controlling which books appear in odds API responses.

added

Sportsbook Management Table MLB

Added odds_api_sportsbooks table to control which sportsbooks appear in front-end props displays. All sportsbook data continues to sync regardless of active status.

fixed

Fix admin gear icon visibility MLB

Made the admin gear icon black so it is visible against the light navbar background.

fixed

Under hit rates now calculate correctly MLB

Clicking the Under toggle on the dashboard now recalculates hit rates (season, L5, L10) to show how often the player goes under the line, instead of just showing under odds.

added

Hits+Runs+RBIs OVER System MLB

New system that identifies batters with high Hits+Runs+RBIs hit rates in favorable matchup conditions. Filters by batting order, opposing pitcher WHIP, team implied runs, ballpark, and platoon advantage. Includes Over/Under toggle and admin dashboard with configurable venue toggles.

fixed

Fix stale team assignments in Prop Analyzer MLB

Player team labels now correctly reflect current-season rosters instead of potentially showing previous season teams

fixed

Fixed player photos on Top Performers pages MLB

Player headshots now display correctly on both Top Performers and Team Top Performers pages using the MLB CDN.

added

Team Top Performers page MLB

New page to view top-performing players filtered by team. Select any team from the dropdown to see which players are hitting their prop lines at the highest rates.

changed

Admin-Selectable Prop Markets MLB

Top Performers prop markets are now configurable from the admin Prop Analysis settings. Each market can be toggled to Over, Under, or Off. Removed low-value props like stolen bases, singles, and doubles by default.

added

Top Performers Page MLB

Added a new Top Performers page under Prop Analysis that highlights players consistently hitting their prop lines. Filter by pitchers or batters, with admin-configurable hit rate and minimum games thresholds.

added

Parlay Builder MLB

New multi-leg parlay analyzer — select 2-6 player props, choose teams, players, stats, and lines, then see historical hit rates showing how often your parlay would have hit this season.

added

Hits Over System MLB

New evaluation system that identifies teams likely to go over on total hits. Enter a threshold and direction to see which teams's projected hits (based on rolling batting averages vs opponent pitching trends) meet your criteria.

added

Systems Overview Page MLB

New systems overview page listing all evaluation systems with a highlighted section showing today qualifying games across all active systems

fixed

Disambiguated duplicate prop labels MLB

Pitcher Strikeouts, Batter Strikeouts, and Pitcher Walks now have distinct labels in market dropdowns instead of showing duplicate Strikeouts/Walks entries.

added

Min Games filter on dashboard MLB

Added a Min Games input to the dashboard toolbar. Defaults to 3 so players with only 1-2 games of data are filtered out, reducing misleading small-sample hit rates.

changed

Improved hit rate sorting and sample size display MLB

Dashboard prop cards now sort by total games when hit rates are tied, so players with more data rank higher. L5/L10 trend labels now show game count when fewer than 5 or 10 games are available (e.g. 100% (2g)) to indicate small sample sizes.

fixed

Convert all times to Central Time MLB

All game times across the site now display in Central Time (CT). Fixed a bug where dashboard game filter buttons showed broken times like 2014:05 PM. Added a shared formatGameTime() helper to ensure all future time displays are consistent.

fixed

Fixed prop sync cron job MLB

Resolved issue where daily prop imports were silently failing due to a missing log directory. Created the log directory and fixed file ownership so the cron job runs correctly under the gamedayanalytics user.

added

Admin Systems Dashboard MLB

Added a Systems section to the MLB Admin dashboard with configurable parameters for the Heavy Home Favorites system. Includes live preview showing how parameter changes affect today's game evaluations in real-time.

fixed

Fix dashboard player photos and props display MLB

Fixed player headshots on the props dashboard to use MLB CDN instead of local files. Fixed market type mapping that prevented props from loading. Fixed empty market dropdown when no props are available.

fixed

Fix props dashboard API MLB

Fixed the daily props API which was broken due to incorrect database column references. The props dashboard now loads correctly.

added

MLB Admin Dashboard MLB

Added a dedicated admin dashboard at mlb.gamedayanalytics.net/admin with password-protected access, sync log monitoring, data overview, and centralized links to admin tools. Removed public Admin nav section and replaced with a subtle gear icon.

added

Collapsible closing line history on player profiles MLB

Closing line history is now grouped by game and collapsible — showing the matchup and O/U summary on each row. Most recent game is expanded by default.

fixed

Fix prop history grading for closing line history MLB

Fixed the prop grading pipeline which was failing due to incorrect database column mappings and a missing table reference. Closing line history on player profiles now shows results across all game dates instead of only March 30.

fixed

Bridge Builder timezone fix MLB

Game times on the Bridge Builder page now display in Central Time

added

Bridge Builder & Pitcher Evaluations MLB

New admin dashboard for assigning pitcher starter tiers (Tier 1/2) and reliever roles (Setup Man/Closer). Bridge Builder page automatically filters today's MLB games through a 5-point qualification system: moneyline range, starter tier, bullpen LOB%, reliever availability, and sweep risk detection.

fixed

Fixed missing early-season game data MLB

Backfilled game stats, lineups, and umpire data from Opening Day (Mar 26) through Mar 29. Updated cron sync scripts to use a rolling date window instead of today-only, preventing data gaps at season start.

fixed

Player detail page rewritten for live schema MLB

Rewrote player-detail.php and the player-stats API to use the actual server schema: batters/pitchers tables (no players table), game_pk/game_date/status_abstract in games, base_on_balls/strike_outs/pitches_thrown in player_game_stats, and avg/obp/slg/ops columns in batters. Added new Closing Line History section showing graded O/U results with trend dots against closing lines from prop_history table.

added

Closing Line Hit Rate Analyzer MLB

Added historical closing line analysis to player prop cards. CL10 shows the last 10 games hit rate against the closing consensus line with visual Over/Under trend indicators.

added

The Odds API Integration MLB

Switched player prop data source to The Odds API with multi-sportsbook support (including Hard Rock Bet), intelligent 4-layer player name matching, and an admin dashboard for market management and unmatched player resolution.

fixed

Fixed pitcher matchup expansion MLB

Clicking a pitcher on the matchup page now correctly shows the opposing lineup with strikeout percentages (Season, L5, L10, Career) for prop analysis.

added

Complete sync infrastructure MLB

All player game stats, lineups, umpires, standings, and injuries now sync automatically from the MLB Stats API. Games update every 10 minutes during game hours, with a full sweep at 1:30 AM ET.

added

Per-Game Player Stats MLB

Individual game batting and pitching lines now stored for every player. Powers L5, L10, season, and career over/under calculations.

added

Game Lineups MLB

Batting orders and field positions synced from MLB boxscores for all games.

added

Umpire Tracking MLB

Home plate umpire assignments now tracked for every game to analyze scoring tendencies.

added

MLB Standings MLB

Full standings with splits (home/away, day/night, L10, one-run, extra-inning) synced daily.

added

Injury Status Tracking MLB

Injured list status synced from all 30 team rosters, updated daily.

added

Automated Sync Schedule MLB

Three cron jobs handle data freshness: daily pre-game (6 AM), live updates every 10 min with instant post-game stats, final sweep at 1:30 AM.

added

Historical Data Backfill MLB

Per-game stats, lineups, and umpires backfilled for all regular season games from 2020 to 2025.

changed

Migrated to Official MLB Stats API MLB

All game schedules, pitcher season stats, and batter season stats are now sourced directly from the official MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com). Database rebuilt with MLB-native IDs for improved accuracy and reliability.

changed

Prop Analyzer Shows All Qualifying Players MLB

The Prop Hit Rate Analyzer now finds all players meeting your criteria regardless of whether they have a game today. The Game column indicates their matchup status.

added

Game Column in Prop Analyzer MLB

The Prop Hit Rate Analyzer now shows each player's matchup and game time alongside their prop data.

changed

Hide Completed Games from Dashboard MLB

Games that have already finished no longer appear on the daily props dashboard.

fixed

Fix Duplicate Game Tabs MLB

Fixed an issue where game filter tabs on the dashboard were showing the same game multiple times.

fixed

Fix Lineup Sync Errors MLB

Fixed a data type issue in the lineup sync that was causing insert errors for the probable pitcher field.

added

Incremental Post-Game Sync MLB

Player game stats, prop results, and lineups now process within ~10 minutes of a game ending instead of waiting for the 1:30 AM overnight batch.

fixed

Filter Spring Training from Game Log MLB

Player profile game log now only shows regular season games, excluding spring training appearances.

added

Full BDL API Data Mirror MLB

Now syncing all 19 BDL API endpoints including Statcast pitch-by-pitch data, play-by-play, standings, lineups, player splits, injuries, and batter-vs-pitcher matchups. Historical data backfilled for 2022-2025 seasons.

added

Pitching Matchups Page MLB

Added a new Pitching Matchups page showing today's starting pitchers grouped by game. Click any pitcher to see head-to-head strikeout rates, AVG, and OPS against the opposing lineup with career, season, L5, and L10 views.

added

Prop Hit Rate Analyzer MLB

New cross-player discovery tool that finds players with consistent hit rates against their current prop lines. Filter by prop type, direction, minimum hit rate, and games played. Includes L5/L10 trends and sortable results.

added

Umpire game preview per-season hit rates MLB

Umpire Game Preview cards now show the O/U line with the umpire hit rate broken down by season. Pitcher combo data also includes per-season breakdown. Fixed betting odds sync to correctly parse BDL API response fields.

fixed

Renamed Accuracy to Hit Rate on props cards MLB

The props dashboard now displays Hit Rate instead of Accuracy for clarity. Also fixed hit rate data not showing by falling back to the most recent season when the current season has no game stats yet.

added

Prop Card Dashboard MLB

Redesigned the MLB home page to display player props in a card-based layout with prop type selector, game filters, sportsbook filter, sort options, and hit rate trending (L5/L10/SZN). Cards show player photo, matchup, prop line, odds, and accuracy metrics sorted by hit rate.

added

Umpire Game Preview Page MLB

New page showing home plate umpire O/U hit rates, threshold grids, and starting pitcher combo stats for any date. Pick a date and instantly see how the umpire influences each game.

fixed

Fix Stale LIVE Badges MLB

Dashboard no longer shows LIVE badges for games that started more than 6 hours ago, preventing false live indicators when the API is slow to finalize game status.

added

Team Logos on Dashboard MLB

Today's Games cards on the dashboard now show team logos instead of plain text abbreviations.

added

Season Selector on Umpires Page MLB

Added season filter checkboxes to the Umpires listing page. Users can now filter umpire stats by specific seasons for more targeted analysis.

fixed

Filter Spring Training from Umpire Stats MLB

Fixed umpire stats to exclude spring training games. All umpire pages and the stats cache now only count regular season HP games, producing accurate game counts, averages, and over/under percentages.

added

Umpire Analysis tool MLB

New Umpire Analysis page for analyzing HP umpire tendencies with custom over/under thresholds across multiple stat types (runs, K, BB, HR, hits) with season filtering, hit rate cards, threshold grid, and game history.

added

Game time display on dashboard MLB

Scheduled games now show their start time (ET) instead of a generic Scheduled badge on the dashboard, games today, and game detail pages.

added

Umpire Filtering & Custom O/U Line Analysis MLB

Added interactive filters to the Umpires page — set minimum HP games, enter a custom O/U line threshold, and toggle between Over and Under to see hit rates. Includes sortable columns and historical vs. actual betting line tracking.

added

Season Selector MLB

Players and pitchers pages now support browsing historical seasons.

added

Player Headshots MLB

Player profile and list pages now show player photos.

added

Team Logos MLB

Team logo images replace text abbreviations across all pages.

changed

Smart stat columns on Players page MLB

Players page now shows only relevant stat columns when filtering by position — batting stats for hitters, pitching stats for pitchers.

added

Historical season data (2020-2025) MLB

Added complete season statistics going back to 2020. Browse any season using the season selector on Players, Pitchers, and Player Profile pages.

fixed

Player positions standardized MLB

Normalized all player position data to standard abbreviations (SP, LF, 3B, etc.) for consistent filtering across the platform.

fixed

Season stats data corrected MLB

Fixed field mapping for all batting and pitching statistics. OBP, SLG, OPS, ERA, WHIP, W-L, K, and IP now display correctly across all player pages.

added

Launch MLB Player Prop Analytics MLB

Full MLB platform with player stats, game logs, prop analysis, umpire factors, and betting odds tracking.